MANAJEMEN RISIKO AGRIBISNIS TERINTEGRASI: DARI USAHATANI, RANTAI PASOK, HINGGA RESILIENSI SISTEM PANGAN

Akhmad, S., Utama, D. M., Uyun, Q., & Wijaya, D. S. (2026). A new hybrid integrated framework for mitigating risks in sustainable supply chains: A case study on Indonesia’s carrageenan industry. Cleaner Logistics and Supply Chain, 19, 100307. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.clscn.2026.100307

Ali, I., & Govindan, K. (2021). Extenuating operational risks through digital transformation of agri-food supply chains. Production Planning & Control, 34(12), 1165–1177. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1080/09537287.2021.1988177

Andani, A., Irham, I., Jamhari, J., & Suryantini, A. (2022). Multifaceted Social and Environmental Disruptions Impact on Smallholder Plantations’ Resilience in Indonesia. Scientific World Journal, 2022. https://doi.org/10.1155/2022/6360253

Ansari, A., Lin, Y. P., & Lur, H. S. (2021). Evaluating and adapting climate change impacts on rice production in indonesia: A case study of the keduang subwatershed, Central Java. Environments - MDPI, 8(11). https://doi.org/10.3390/environments8110117

Aprilia, A., Dewi, H. E., Pariasa, I. I., & Hardana, A. E. (2024). Factors affecting consumers’ preferences in purchasing organic vegetables using a theory of planned behavior. IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science, 1306(1). https://doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/1306/1/012028

Aprilia, A., Laili, F., Setyowati, P. B., & Waringga, K. F. (2021). The effect of supplier innovation on supply chain agility: Evidence from coffee shops in Malang area. IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science, 733(1).https://doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/733/1/012059

Aprilia, A., Syafrial, Koestiono, D., Riana, F. D., & Maulidah, S. (2025). Measuring agri-fresh food sustainable supply chain risk: a study of tropical fruit in Indonesia utilising fuzzy-DEMATEL approach. Cogent Social Sciences, 11(1). https://doi.org/10.1080/23311886.2025.2549474

Aprilia, A., Syafrial, Koestiono, D., Riana, F. D., & Maulidah, S. (2026). Sustainability performance evaluation of tropical fruit supply chain in Indonesia using the best-worst method. Agricultural Economics (Czech Republic), 72(2), 120–134. https://doi.org/10.17221/46/2025-AGRICECON

Arifin, Azisah, Sadat, M. A., Pata, A. A., Megawati, & Asriyani. (2025). Risiko dan Faktor Produksi Usahatani Padi Sawah Tadah Hujan Kabupaten Pangkajene Kepulauan. Mimbar Agribisnis : Jurnal Pemikiran Masyarakat Ilmiah Berwawasan Agribisnis, 11(1), 655–662. https://doi.org/10.25157/ma.v11i1.16235

Assa, H., Liu, P., & Wang, S. (2025). Quantitative Risk Management in Agricultural Business (H. Assa, P. Liu, & S. Wang, Eds.). Springer Nature Switzerland. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-80574-5

Aswar, N., Humaidi, Meikhati, E., Sryadi, & Apriani, E. (2024). Manajemen Risiko Keuangan Pendekatan Teori dan Praktik. In Yayasan Putra Adi Dharma.

Capitanio, F. (2022). Risk, uncertainty, crises management and public intervention in agriculture. REA ITALIAN REVIEW OF AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS, 77(2), 3–14. https://doi.org/10.36253/rea-13774

Capitanio, F. (2026). Risk and Uncertainty in Agriculture : Theory , Tool Boundaries , and Public Role. Sustainability, 18(1751), 1–15. https://doi.org/10.3390/su18041751

Cheng, W., Hu, M., & Wu, C. (2025). Enhancing green building decision-making with a hybrid fuzzy AHP-TOPSIS model for material selection. Applied Water Science 2025 15:6, 15(6), 129-. https://doi.org/10.1007/S13201-025-02481-7

Dahivale, R. P. (2025). Supply Chain Risk Management ( SCRM ) in Agribusiness and Food Industry. IBMRD’s Journal of Management & Research, 14(1), 1–5. https://doi.org/10.17697/ibmrd/2025/v14i1/174284

Do, Q. H., Tran, V. T., & Tran, T. T. (2024). Evaluating lecturer performance in Vietnam: An application of fuzzy AHP and fuzzy TOPSIS methods. Heliyon, 10(11), e30772. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e30772

Estiningtyas, W., Surmaini, E., Suciantini, Susanti, E., Mulyani, A., Kartiwa, B., Sumaryanto, Perdinan, Apriyana, Y., & Alifia, A. D. (2024). Analysing food farming vulnerability in Kalimantan, Indonesia: Determinant factors and adaptation measures. PLoS ONE, 19(1 January). https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0296262

Fathrio, I., & Nuryanto, D. E. (2025). Predikasi Iklim untuk Ketahanan Pangan. In Ikan Gabus : Ragam Produk Olahannya. Penerbit BRIN. https://doi.org/10.55981/brin.726

Fauzi, I., Aprilia, A., & Dewi, H. E. (2021). Supply Chain Performance of Organic Vegetables (Evidence on SMES in Malang City). AGRISOCIONOMICS: Jurnal Sosial Ekonomi Dan Kebijakan Pertanian, 5(1), 153–167.http://ejournal2.undip.ac.id/index.php/agrisocionomics

Febriviyanto, G., & Zuniana, Q. (2023). Analisis Rantai Pasok (Supply Chain) Komoditas Cabai Rawit di Pasar Kalisat Kabupaten Jember. Kubis, 3(2), 129–139. https://doi.org/10.56013/kub.v3i2.2245

Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations. (2017). Climate Smart Agriculture Sourcebook (2nd ed.). FAO. https://www.fao.org/climate-smart-agriculture-sourcebook/en/

Gai, A. M. (2024). MANAJEMEN RISIKO IDENTIFIKASI, ANALISIS, DAN MITIGASI UNTUK MASA DEPAN (Vol. 2). PT Media Penerbit Indonesia.

Gheddar, R. (2023). Decision-making criteria in uncertainty and risk in the agricultural sector. Journal of Innovations and Sustainability, 7(4), 1–20. https://doi.org/10.51599/is.2023.07.04.06

Gurtu, A., & Johny, J. (2021). Supply Chain Risk Management: Literature Review. Risks, 9(1), 16. https://doi.org/10.3390/risks9010016

Hafids, S. (2025). MANAJEMEN RISIKO AGRIBISNIS. CV HEI PUBLISHING INDONESIA.

Hair, J. F., Black, W. C., Babin, B. J., & Anderson, R. E. (2019). MULTIVARIATE DATA ANALYSIS EIGHTH EDITION. Cengage. www.cengage.com/highered

Hardana, A. E., Pratiwi, D. E., & Ambayoen, M. A. (2019). Analysis of Factors that Influence of Horticulture Farmers Decision on Accessing Agriculture Microfinance in East Java. Prosiding Seminar Nasional Lingkungan Lahan Basah, 4(1), 38–44.

Hardjomidjojo, H., Pranata, C., & Baigorria, G. (2022). Rapid assessment model on risk management based on ISO 31000:2018. IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science, 1063(1). https://doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/1063/1/012043

Haryati, N., Rayesa, N. F., Faizal, F., & Fanani, M. A. (2022). Risk analysis of shallot upstream supply chain in Malang during COVID-19 pandemic. IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science, 1063(1). https://doi.org/10.1088/17551315/1063/1/012034

HM Treasury. (2023). The Orange Book: Management of Risk—Principles and Concepts. HM Treasury.

Hopkin, P. (2017). Fundamentals of Risk Management: Understanding, Evaluating and Implementing Effective Risk Management (4th ed. Kogan Page.

Imbiri, S., Rameezdeen, R., Chileshe, N., & Statsenko, L. (2021). A Novel Taxonomy for Risks in Agribusiness Supply Chains : A Systematic Literature Review. Sustainability, 13(9217), 1–24. /https://doi.org/10.3390/su13169217

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). (2023). Climate Change 2022 – Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. In Climate Change 2022 – Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Cambridge University Press. https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009325844

Islami, N., Fauziyah, E., & Wijayanti, D. E. (2025). Analisis Risiko Operasional pada Perusahaan Benih Jagung PT. Giri Agro Raya Sejahtera. Journal of Agribusiness Science and Rural Development (JASRD), 4(2), 1–20. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/

10.32639/kcngqy23

Ivanov, R., & Atanasov, D. (2023). Risk management in agriculture. AGRICULTURAL SCIENCES, 15(37), 37–45. https://doi.org/10.22620/agrisci.2023.37.005

Jayalath, M. M., Ratnayake, R. M. C., Perera, H. N., & Thibbotuwawa, A. (2026). An analytical approach to risk assessment in agri-food supply chains using fuzzy inference systems. Supply Chain Analytics, 13, 100179. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.sca.2025.100179

Jekson, A. F., & Wadu, J. (2025). KIRITANA KECAMATAN KAMBERA KABUPATEN SUMBA TIMUR Risk Analysis Of Chili Production In Kiritana Village , Kambera District , East Sumba Regency. Jurnal Mahatani, 8(1), 124–138.

Kahneman, D., & Tversky’, A. (1979). Prospect Theory: An Analysis of Decision Under Risk. Econometrica, 47(2), 263–291.

Komarek, A. M., Pinto, A. De, & Smith, V. H. (2020). A review of types of risks in agriculture : What we know and what we need to know. Agricultural Systems, 178(November 2019), 102738. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agsy.2019.102738

Kramer, B., Hazell, P., Alderman, H., Ceballos, F., Kumar, N., & Timu, A. G. (2022). Is Agricultural Insurance Fulfilling Its Promise for the Developing World ? A Review of Recent Evidence. Annual Review OfResource Economics, 14, 291–311. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-resource-111220- 014147

Laksono, P., Irham, Mulyo, J. H., & Suryantini, A. (2022). Farmers’ willingness to adopt geographical indication practice in Indonesia: A psycho behavioral analysis. Heliyon, 8(8). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2022.e10178

Madzík, P., & Falát, L. (2022). State-of-the-art on analytic hierarchy process in the last 40 years: Literature review based on Latent Dirichldkklocation topic modelling. PLOS ONE, 17(5), e0268777. https://doi.org/10.1371/JOURNAL.PONE.0268777

Maulidah, S., Yuswita, E., Riana, F. D., Dewi, H. E., Aprilia, A., Hartono, R., Aprilia, D., Putri, D., & Lailatus Sa’adah, S. (2025). Inkubasi Agroindustri Kecil Menengah melalui Optimalisasi Sistem TIK Berbasis Website. Jurnal Pengabdian Kepada Masyarakat, 16(4), 754–762. http://journal.upgris.ac.id/index.php/e-dimas

Medeiros, E. D. de, Vaz, C. R., & Chaves, G. de L. D. (2025). Risks in food supply chains and strategies to mitigate them: a systematic literature review. Production, 35. https://doi.org/10.1590/0103-6513.20250045

Mihrete, T. B., & Mihretu, F. B. (2025a). Crop Diversification for Ensuring Sustainable Agriculture , Risk Management and Food Security. Global Challenges, 9(2400267), 1–13. https://doi.org/10.1002/gch2.202400267

Mihrete, T. B., & Mihretu, F. B. (2025b). Crop Diversification for Ensuring Sustainable Agriculture , Risk Management and Food Security. Global Challenges, 9(2400267), 1–13. https://doi.org/10.1002/gch2.202400267

Misnawati, Apriyana, Y., & Ramadhani, F. (2021). The projected water availability on paddy rice based on climate change scenario in Indonesia. IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science, 648(1). https://doi.org/10.1088/17551315/648/1/012162

Mizumoto, A. (2023). Calculating the Relative Importance of Multiple Regression Predictor Variables Using Dominance Analysis and Random Forests. Language Learning, 73(1), 161–196. https://doi.org/10.1111/lang.12518

Mohsin, M., Mehak, A., Shafqat, M. M., & Luyao, Z. (2024). Risk identification and mitigation among rice farmers in Pakistan: a fuzzy-AHP multi-criteria decision-making approach. Frontiers in Sustainable Food Systems, 8, 1404524. https://doi.org/

10.3389/FSUFS.2024.1404524/FULL

Montgomery, D. C., Peck, E. A., & Vining, G. G. (2012). INTRODUCTION TO LINEAR REGRESSION ANALYSIS (3th ed.). John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

Mou, Y., & Li, X. (2025). Risk Perception and Key Beliefs on Business Adaptation Behavior of Family Farmers: Empirical Evidence from Sichuan Province, China. Behavioral Sciences, 15(1). https://doi.org/10.3390/bs15010086

OECD. (2020). Strengthening Agricultural Resilience in the Face of Multiple Risks. OECD Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1787/2250453e-en

Paillin, D. B., Machfud, Hardjomidjojo, H., & Romli, M. (2024). AGRO-FOOD SUPPLY CHAIN RISK ASSESSMENT: A REVIEW BASED ON TECHNIQUE AND APPROACH. Journal of Applied Engineering and Technological Science, 5(2), 892–908. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.37385/jaets.v5i2.3688

Pokorádi, L., Koçak, S., & Tóth-Laufer, E. (2021). Fuzzy Failure Modes and Effects Analysis Using Summative Defuzzification Methods. Acta Polytechnica Hungarica, 18(9), 2021–2111.

Prabawari, M. V. S., & Perdana, T. (2023). RISK MANAGEMENT ANALYSIS OF PTPN VIII TEA SUPPLY CHAIN RANCABALI PLANTATION SINUMBRA UNIT (Case Study: PTPN VIII Rancabali Plantation Sinumbra Unit, Rancabali District, Bandung Regency, West Java) Maria. Mimbar Agribisnis: Jurnal Pemikiran Masyarakat Ilmiah Berwawasan Agribisnis, 9(2), 2188–2199. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.25157/ma.v9i2.10291

Pramono, J., & Romdon, A. S. (2022). Peningkatan Produktivitas Melalui Perbaikan Sistem Budidaya Padi Sawah di tengah Ancaman Perubahan Iklim. Jurnal KaliAgri, 3(2), 9–19.

Pratiwi, D., Ambayoen, M., & Hardana, A. (2019). Studi Pembiayaan Mikro Petani Dalam Pengambilan Keputusan Untuk Kredit Formal dan Kredit Nonformal. Habitat, 30(1), 35–43. https://doi.org/10.21776/ub.habitat.2019.030.1.5

Purnomo, B. H., Suryadharma, B., & Al-hakim, R. G. (2021). Risk Mitigation Analysis in a Supply Chain of Coffee Using House of Risk Method. Industria: Jurnal Teknologi Dan Manajemen Agroindustri, 10(2), 111–124. https://doi.org/10.21776/ub.industria.2021.010.02.3

Rahmat, Aulia Nurul Hikmah, & Jumriani Dambe. (2024). Analisis Fluktuasi Harga Cabai Rawit di Desa kabupaten Polewali Mandar. Jurnal E-Bussiness Institut Teknologi Dan Bisnis Muhammadiyah Polewali Mandar, 4(1), 83–89. https://doi.org/10.59903/ebussiness.v4i1.107

Rayesa, N. F., Retnoningsih, D., & Aprilia, A. (2019). Risk Mitigation of Sustainable Supply Chain for Food Product Based on apple Commodity. Russian Journal of Agricultural and Socio-Economic Sciences, 96(12), 60–68. https://doi.org/10.18551/rjoas.2019-12.08

Rismayanti. (2022). RISIKO PRODUKSI USAHATANI CABAI RAWIT (Capsicum frutescenes L.) PANEN HIJAU DAN PANEN MERAH. 9(3), 1412–1423.

Said, A. M. S., & Wessiani, N. A. (2021). Internal Supply Chain Risk Management Using Failure Mode and Effect Analysis (FMEA) and Value at Risk (VaR) (Case Study in PT Agro Muda Berkarya. Jurnal Teknik ITS, 10(2). https://doi.org/10.12962/j23373539.v10i2.65607

Sharma, R., Shishodia, A., Kamble, S., Gunasekaran, A., & Belhadi, A. (2024). Agriculture supply chain risks and COVID-19: mitigation strategies and implications for the practitioners. International Journal of Logistics Research and Applications, 27(11), 2351–2377. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1080/13675567.2020.1830049

Sustiyana, S., & Iswahyudi, I. (2020). Evaluasi Risiko Dalam Rantai Pasok Cabai Di Kabupaten Sumenep. Jurnal Hexagro, 4(2), 129–138. https://doi.org/10.36423/

hexagro.v4i2.470

Taramuel-Taramuel, J. P., Montoya-Restrepo, I. A., & Barrios, D. (2023). Drivers linking farmers’ decision-making with farm performance: A systematic review and future research agenda. In Heliyon (Vol. 9, Number 10). Elsevier Ltd. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e20820

Tatiana, B., & Andrea, B. (2021). How to deal with global concept of Risk in Agriculture ? Comparative overview of the literature. Globalization and Its Socio-Economic Consequences, 3001, 1–9. https://doi.org/https://

doi.org/10.1051/shsconf/202192031

Tian, T., & Zhao, X. (2024). Risk Perception, Risk Preference, and Timing of Food Sales: New Insights into Farmers’ Negativity in China. Foods, 13(14). https://doi.org/10.3390/foods13142243

Torrens-Urrutia, A., Novák, V., & Jiménez-López, M. D. (2022). Describing Linguistic Vagueness of Evaluative Expressions Using Fuzzy Natural Logic and Linguistic Constraints. Mathematics 2022, Vol. 10, Page 2760, 10(15), 2760. https://doi.org/10.3390/MATH10152760

Uli Sihombing, V., Siadari, U., Sari, R., & Ardansah Munthe, M. (2023). THE IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON PRODUCTIVITY AND FOOD SECURITY IN INDONESIA. Journal of Agri Socio Economic and Business, 05(2), 191–202. https://doi.org/10.31186/jaseb.05.2.191-202

Vafadarnikjooa, A., Moktadir, Md. A., Paul, S. K., & Ali, S. M. (2023). A novel grey multi-objective binary linear programming model for risk assessment in supply chain management. Supply Chain Analytics, 2(March), 100012. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.sca.

2023.100012

Wahdah, S., Aprilia, A., & Koestiono, D. (2025). Penilaian Kinerja Rantai Pasok Minyak Daun Cengkeh Menggunakan Model Supply Chain Operations References. Jurnal Ekonomi Pertanian Dan Agribisnis, 9(3). https://doi.org/10.21776/ub.jepa.

2025.009.03.12

Wahyuni, E., Kasmiati, A.Sutrisno, & Rahajeng, G. Y. (2021). Risk analysis model of sweet corn production using z-score and value at risk methods Ris. ACIFAS 2020 IOP Conf. Series: Earth and Environmental Science, 1–8. https://doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/748/1/012014

Wang, L., Yu, Y., Liu, Z., Liu, Z., & Liu, X. (2024). An Enhanced Failure Mode and Effects Analysis Risk Identification Method Based on Uncertainty and Fuzziness. Journal of Engineering Management and Systems Engineering, 3(3), 116–131. https://doi.org/10.56578/JEMSE030301

Wibowo, Y., & Nurluthfiyadi Ni’maturrakhmat, V. (2026). Integrating fuzzy logic-house of risk for risk mitigation analysis of bondowoso arabica coffee supply chain (a case study in Indonesia). Coffee Science, 21, 1–18. https://doi.org/10.25186/.v21i.2397

Wulandari, E., Meuwissen, M. P. M., Karmana, M. H., & Oude Lansink, A. G. J. M. (2021). The role of access to finance from different finance providers in production risks of horticulture in Indonesia. PLoS ONE, 16(9 September). https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0257812

Xue, Y., Yan, J., Mohsin, M., & Mehak, A. (2025). Supply chain risks in agri-food systems: a comprehensive review of economic vulnerabilities and mitigation approaches. Frontiers in Sustainable Food Systems, 9. https://doi.org/10.3389/fsufs.2025.1649834

Zhao, G., Liu, S., Lopez, C., Chen, H., Lu, H., Mangla, S. K., & Elgueta, S. (2020). Risk Analysis of The Agri-food Supply Chain: A Multi-method Approach. International Journal of Production Research, 58-(16), 4851–4876. https://doi.org/https://doi.

org/10.1080/00207543.2020.1725684